Europe's
sovereign debt crisis exploded back into life on Tuesday, with markets
across the continent rocked by a wave of panic selling amid renewed
fears about the impact of savage austerity measures in
Spain and
Italy.
The
mood of uneasy calm seen across Europe since the Greek bailout in
February was shattered as financial markets took fright at evidence of a
double-dip recession and growing popular opposition to welfare cuts and
tax increases.
Italy and Spain, the eurozone's third and fourth
biggest economies, were at the centre of the market turmoil, with
investors demanding an increasingly high premium for holding their
bonds.
"Spain is right in the centre of a European storm,"
admitted finance minister Luis de Guindos, who declined to rule out an
eventual bailout but insisted it could be avoided.
In Italy, Mario
Monti's coalition government is facing growing hostility to reforms of
its labour market, while the sheer size of the country's public debt
made it an obvious target for nervous traders. The prospect of Greek
voters rejecting austerity and the
French electorate denying Nicolas
Sarkozy a second term as president was also weighing on the markets.
The
Greek government said it would hold a general election on 6 May, with
opinion polls showing support for the mainstream pro-austerity parties
is too weak to allow them to form a government.
"Spain is a big focus right now and even
Greece
will be coming back into the picture as it looks for another tranche of
aid, so this eurozone debt tragedy is not going away, but seems to be
getting worse," said Daniel Hwang, senior currency strategist at
Forex.com in New York.
Interest rates on 10-year Spanish bonds hit
6% for the first time since January, when Europe's leaders were
battling to agree a bailout deal for Greece and secure the future of the
eurozone. Shares in Madrid dropped by almost 3% to hit their lowest
level since March 2009.
In Italy, share prices slumped by 5% on
rumours that the government was preparing to downgrade its growth
forecasts, and trading in the shares of several of its banks was
suspended after they fell sharply.
Shares were also much lower on
Wall Street, where the fallout from Europe exacerbated fears that the US
recovery is petering out. Disappointment at last week's unemployment
figures had already been weighing heavily on investor confidence.
The
markets closed in New York with Wall Street completing a fifth
successive day of decline, with the Dow Jones having lost 213 points. In
London, the FTSE 100 closed down 128 points, at 5,595.55. Oil prices
also fell sharply amid concerns about the prospects for growth on both
sides of the Atlantic and in Asia, with the price of a barrel of crude
falling by more than $2.
In contrast, safe haven assets such as
gold, the US dollar and bonds in the US, Germany and Britain were all in
demand. "The market went up on a wave of liquidity-induced euphoria,
and as usual overshot. Now the clever boys have decided to get out,"
said Charles Dumas of Lombard Street Research.
Europe's
politicians had hoped that Greece's second bailout, and a battery of
emergency measures unleashed by the European Central Bank, including its
long-term "repo" operation, which offered cheap money to troubled
banks, would draw a line under months of economic chaos. But Erik
Britton, of City consultancy Fathom, said: "The LTRO [long term
refinancing operation] and all those things, all it's done is bought a
bit of time, but it hasn't addressed the structural problems, even
slightly, even for Greece."
He predicted that the ECB could be
forced to take fresh rescue measures in the next few weeks to prevent
strains in Europe's banking sector from turning into a credit crunch,
while in the longer term several more countries – including Spain and
Italy – would eventually be forced to write off a proportion of their
debts before the crisis is over.
The
euro
came under pressure on the foreign exchange markets as the mood
darkened on Tuesday, losing 0.2% against the dollar, to $1.3080, and
more than 1% against the yen. David Song, Currency Analyst at DailyFX,
said: "The single currency is likely to face additional headwinds over
the near term as the region continues to face a risk for a prolonged
recession."
Spain's prime minister, Mariano Rajoy, speaking in the
country's senate, warned that his government must stick with its
austerity plans, saying: "There's no doubt that much of Spain's future
is at stake and also economic growth and the creation of jobs over the
coming years."
But the central bank governor, Miguel Ángel
Fernández Ordóñez, added to the mood of anxiety by warning that unless
the economy improves, the country's struggling banks will need a new
government bailout. Successive waves of austerity measures have already
driven Spanish unemployment to 23%. Some 50% of young people are out of
work.
Jane Foley, currency strategist at Rabobank, said: "The
Spanish government appears to be losing the battle to restore budgetary
credibility while each additional austerity measure serves to feed the
recessionary backdrop."
In London, Barclays shares fell by 6% to
206p and were the second-biggest faller in the FTSE100 amid fears about
its troubled Spanish operation. In February Barclays borrowed €6bn from
the ECB's cheap loans scheme to pour into its Spanish operations.
The
fresh bout of turbulence comes as the world's finance ministers and
central bank governors prepare to fly to Washington next week for the
half-yearly meeting of the International Monetary Fund. Following the
measures taken by the ECB, the fund had been hopeful that the talks
would be less fraught than those last autumn, when Europe's leaders were
told to get to grips with their problems.
Christine Lagarde, the
IMF's managing director, will almost certainly use the renewed crisis in
the single currency zone to seek support for an increase in the fund's
resources. But several countries, including the UK, have signalled that
they would be reluctant to contribute significant new funds to the IMF
unless they can be convinced eurozone leaders have done everything
possible to tackle sovereign debt.